Friday's contest that pits the New York Yankees (30-22) versus the San Diego Padres (23-27) at Yankee Stadium has a projected final score of 5-3 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of the Yankees, who is a small favorite in this matchup. First pitch is at 7:05 PM on May 26.

The probable pitchers are Joe Musgrove (1-2) for the Padres and Randy Vasquez for the Yankees.

Padres vs. Yankees Game Info & Odds

  • When: Friday, May 26, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!

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Padres vs. Yankees Score Prediction

Our prediction for this contest is Yankees 5, Padres 3.

Total Prediction for Padres vs. Yankees

  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

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Padres Performance Insights

  • In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 4-5.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, San Diego and its opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • In their last game with a spread, the Padres failed to cover.
  • The Padres have won 15, or 48.4%, of the 31 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • This season San Diego has won 15 of its 31 games, or 48.4%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 53.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego ranks 25th in the majors with 200 total runs scored this season.
  • The Padres have a 3.98 team ERA that ranks 10th among all league pitching staffs.

Yankees Performance Insights

  • The Yankees have played as the underdog three times over their past 10 games and are undefeated in those matchups.
  • In its last 10 games with an over/under, New York and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total five times.
  • The Yankees have not covered the runline in any of their last 10 matchups (two of those games had a spread).
  • The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 14 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (42.9%) in those games.
  • This year, New York has won six of 14 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • The offense for New York is the No. 11 offense in the majors, scoring 4.6 runs per game (239 total runs).
  • The Yankees have the sixth-best ERA (3.72) in the majors this season.

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Padres Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 20 Red Sox L 4-2 Joe Musgrove vs Chris Sale
May 21 Red Sox W 7-0 Michael Wacha vs Corey Kluber
May 23 @ Nationals W 7-4 Yu Darvish vs MacKenzie Gore
May 24 @ Nationals L 5-3 Ryan Weathers vs Trevor Williams
May 25 @ Nationals W 8-6 Blake Snell vs Jake Irvin
May 26 @ Yankees - Joe Musgrove vs Randy Vasquez
May 27 @ Yankees - Michael Wacha vs Luis Severino
May 28 @ Yankees - Yu Darvish vs Gerrit Cole
May 30 @ Marlins - Ryan Weathers vs Sandy Alcantara
May 31 @ Marlins - Blake Snell vs Braxton Garrett
June 1 @ Marlins - Joe Musgrove vs Jesús Luzardo

Yankees Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
May 20 @ Reds W 7-4 Jhony Brito vs Luke Weaver
May 21 @ Reds W 4-1 Luis Severino vs Hunter Greene
May 23 Orioles W 6-5 Gerrit Cole vs Kyle Bradish
May 24 Orioles L 9-6 Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Tyler Wells
May 25 Orioles L 3-1 Clarke Schmidt vs Kyle Gibson
May 26 Padres - Randy Vasquez vs Joe Musgrove
May 27 Padres - Luis Severino vs Michael Wacha
May 28 Padres - Gerrit Cole vs Yu Darvish
May 29 @ Mariners - Domingo Germán vs Bryce Miller
May 30 @ Mariners - Nestor Cortes Jr. vs Logan Gilbert
May 31 @ Mariners - Clarke Schmidt vs George Kirby